Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.024602 0.026662 0.028728 0.030954 0.033279 0.035634 0.038194
2025-08-17 0.020319 0.023542 0.026900 0.030641 0.034676 0.038882 0.043581
2025-08-24 0.017712 0.021593 0.025749 0.030493 0.035724 0.041282 0.047601
2025-08-31 0.015645 0.019965 0.024705 0.030229 0.036430 0.043123 0.050838
2025-09-07 0.014061 0.018713 0.023934 0.030130 0.037195 0.044919 0.053926
2025-09-14 0.012476 0.017329 0.022896 0.029621 0.037403 0.046017 0.056165
2025-09-21 0.011098 0.016084 0.021928 0.029108 0.037533 0.046962 0.058177
2025-09-28 0.009732 0.014756 0.020780 0.028310 0.037266 0.047401 0.059566
2025-10-05 0.009282 0.014536 0.020937 0.029033 0.038753 0.049833 0.063212
2025-10-12 0.008678 0.014075 0.020763 0.029329 0.039713 0.051639 0.066127
2025-10-19 0.007919 0.013362 0.020237 0.029162 0.040094 0.052748 0.068220
2025-10-26 0.007561 0.013159 0.020334 0.029746 0.041363 0.054891 0.071509
2025-11-02 0.006788 0.012389 0.019727 0.029500 0.041699 0.056024 0.073741
2025-11-09 0.006033 0.011602 0.019077 0.029193 0.041968 0.057100 0.075941
2025-11-16 0.005415 0.010963 0.018582 0.029049 0.042411 0.058363 0.078347
2025-11-23 0.004818 0.010304 0.018024 0.028792 0.042688 0.059406 0.080476
2025-11-30 0.004330 0.009772 0.017608 0.028696 0.043147 0.060655 0.082841
2025-12-07 0.003767 0.009069 0.016916 0.028202 0.043076 0.061239 0.084392
2025-12-14 0.003259 0.008407 0.016244 0.027704 0.042975 0.061767 0.085860
2025-12-21 0.002732 0.007652 0.015394 0.026929 0.042487 0.061794 0.086701
2025-12-28 0.002616 0.007621 0.015617 0.027631 0.043923 0.064216 0.090468
2026-01-04 0.002412 0.007407 0.015549 0.027918 0.044811 0.065950 0.093391
2026-01-11 0.002126 0.007005 0.015173 0.027756 0.045092 0.066916 0.095367